do you sometimes feel “lost” when doing your analysis or reviewing your open trade? Or perhaps you feel insecure about your next decision?
Get ready for a step-by-step explanation how to analyse the charts and find trade setups like a pro.
This article will explain these 3 key aspects:
Nenad and I always analyse the charts by combining the following 3 concepts, which we call a the ‘triangle of analysis’:
Number 1: support & resistance (S&R): Fibs at green and blue boxes indicate S&R.
Number 2: price patterns: orange and purple lines indicates corrective patterns.
Number 3: trend and momentum: blue arrows show bullish momentum and price above moving averages indicate uptrend.
Image: EUR/USD correction (purple/orange) within larger uptrend in August 2017.
All trading systems that fail to incorporate these 3 aspects are vulnerable to losing their edge as market patterns change. In our view, traders who use our triangle of analysis are more flexible and ready to adapt their trading plan and system where and when needed.
Here are the main arguments why the triangle of analysis works:
Trading is like dancing and traders have the role of the follower. The correct sequence is:
Not the other way around. Yet most traders expect price to follow their analysis and predictions.
In essence, the market is speaking to us through its price action, but are you actually listening? Are you able to understand its language?
Our triangle of analysis is the best method how to learn the language of the chart.
Not everyone needs to apply the triangle of the analysis in the exact same way just like languages also differ from region to region. I will be sharing with you my main method of analysing the market structure from highest time frame to lowest time frame.
Here I only review the weekly and monthly candle for its open, close, high and low. I am looking to understand whether the close was near a low or high, which indicates strength for bears (if near low) or for bulls (if near high).
Here are the main angles I review for the weekly and monthly charts:
Image: EUR/USD bullish July monthly candle (purple arrow) indicates more EUR/USD strength in August, potentially after retracement to the 38.2-50% Fib (green) of the candle itself.
On this time frame I do more complex charting than only reviewing the candle. My primary concert on the daily chart is spotting support and resistance levels using Murrey Math levels, Fractals, Fibonacci retracement levels, and tops and bottoms. I will check out the chart for any obvious wave patterns and chart patterns using trend lines.
Here are the main angles I review for the daily chart:
Image: EUR/USD bullish trend because price is above moving averages (MA) and short-term MA is above long-term MA. Price is breaking above corrections (orange line).
On the 4 hour chart I really expand my analysis drastically because I trade based on the 1 hour and 4 hour charts. The higher time frames are providing me with a quick sentiment of the candles, S&R and obvious patterns but on the lower time frames I do the most analysis. Most importantly I measure the trend and momentum.
Here are the main angles I review for the 4 hour chart:
Image: EUR/USD offers bullish momentum in bullish channel. Breaks above trend lines and moving averages offer potential trade setups.
The 1 hour chart and lower time frames are not used that much for analysis, but rather for “operational details” such as potential entries and exits. I check where is the expected space for the trend to continue. For instance, I will avoid taking a setup right into a strong daily level.
Here are the main angles I review for the 1 hour chart:
Image: EUR/USD Wizz tool showing where the space is between the purple lines.
When combining trend, momentum, patterns, support and resistance, I am able to make a judgment about the “path of least resistance”, which explains where price is most likely to flow with the least resistance.
The same concept is valid for a stream of water on a hill. It will also find its own path of least resistance to find the low point in the countryside like a lake. Price is the same, it too will use the path of least resistance.
Traders can estimate the likely price direction (trend/momentum), expected twists along the way (patterns), and hard rocks that will not budge (S&R) using the triangle of analysis.
Many green pips,
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