the EUR/AUD resumed its downtrend after completing a wave C (purple) of wave 4 (green) at the 144 ema. However, price action was not able to break below the previous bottom. What should traders expect next?
The EUR/AUD is testing again the critical 21 ema zone. A downtrend resumed after price action bounced at the 144 ema and rebroke below the 21 emas. Now price will need to break again below support (blue) to confirm the downtrend continuation. A break and close above the 21 ema zone could indicate a deeper retracement towards the 38.2% Fib. This could expand the wave 4 to a new spot (green dotted arrow).
The EUR/AUD is testing the 144 ema on the 15 min chart. This is a key bounce or break spot. The critical aspect is to look for a breakout, pullback and continuation either up or down for a short-term price movement.
The analysis has been done with SWAT method (simple wave analysis and trading).
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