Key Market Insights October 18

8 min read

US Markets

Stocks were significantly down on Friday to finish off a volatile trading week.

  • The S&P 500 finished the week down 1.55% and the Nasdaq fell 3.11%.
  • The decline in stocks was largely due to the fall in consumer sentiment and the expectation that prices will continue to rise.
  • According to the latest University of Michigan consumer sentiment report, consumers now expect that the inflation rate will reach 5.1% in the next 12 months, up from a previous estimate of 4.7%.
  • The current 10 Year U.S. Treasury yield is set at 4.02350%
Market Price Move
Dow Jones 29,634.83 -1.34%
S&P 500 3,583.07 -2.37%
Nasdaq 10,321.39 -3.08%
Russell 2000 1,682.40 -2.66%

 

Canadian Markets

Tiff Macklem, the Governor of the Bank of Canada, said that the bank plans to continue raising interest rates despite the current economic conditions and stock market instability.

  • The Bank of Canada has indicated that it will likely hike interest rates by 50 basis points at its next meeting on Oct. 26.
  • So far this year, rates have increased from 0.25% to 3.25%, and the next rate would raise rates to 3.75%.
  • At the IMF and World Bank annual meetings, Macklem said that the Bank of Canada will primarily focus on fighting inflation and strengthen the Canadian Dollar.
Market Price Move
TSX 18,326.35 -1.54%

 

European Markets

European stocks rose on Friday but remained below their high points from earlier in the week.

  • British Prime Minister Lizz Truss fired Kwasi Kwarteng, the Chancellor of the U.K., after markets reacted negatively to her governments’ fiscal plan.
  • Truss announced the reversal of more tax-cutting measures that were announced by her government on Sept. 23.
  • The Stoxx 600 was up 0.7% on Friday, led by utility stocks which gained 2%.
Market Price Move
Euro STOXX 50 3,381.73 0.57%
UK (FTSE 100) 6,858.79 0.12%
Germany (DAX) 12,437.81 0.67%
France (CAC 40) 5,931.92 0.90%

 

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Asian Markets

Stocks in Asia were up on Friday as they benefitted from the positive momentum in U.S. markets a day earlier.

  • The Hang Seng was up, led by the Hang Seng Tech index, which gained 2.16% on the day.
  • Stocks in Singapore were up on the day after the country reported 4.4% GDP growth in the third quarter.
  • Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company gained 5.31% after announcing that its third-quarter profits surged by 80% year over year.
Market Price Move
S&P Asia 50 3,780.40 1.75%
Japan (Nikkei 225) 27,090.76 3.25%
South Korea (KOSPI) 2,212.55 2.30%
China (Hang Seng) 16,587.69 1.21%
India (SENSEX) 57,919.97 1.20%

 

Commodities

Oil prices were down 3% on Friday amid concerns that a global economic slowdown will weaken oil demand.

  • Brent fell 6.4% last week and U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) lost 7.6%.
  • On Friday, Brent and WTI fell 3.1% and 3.9%, respectively.
  • COVID-19 cases increased during the holidays in China, which could lead to lower oil demand.
Market Price Move
Oil (NYSEARCA:OIL) 30.43 -3.60%
Gold (NYSEARCA:GLD) 152.98 -1.25%
Silver (NYSEARCA:SLV) 16.81 -3.34%
Corn (NYSEARCA:CORN) 27.60 -0.86%
Lumber (NASDAQ:WOOD) 67.69 -1.70%

 

Currency Exchange Rates

The British pound fell on Friday after Prime Minister Liz Truss fired her Chancellor and altered her economic plans.

  • During her 40 days as prime minister, Truss has caused significant volatility in British markets and a devaluation.
  • The U.S. Dollar Index was up 0.6% on Friday to 113.25.
  • The Euro gained against the British Pound but was down against the U.S. Dollar.
Market Price Move
UK(GBP) £0.90 1.19%
Europe (EURO) €1.03 0.48%
Canada (Canadian Dollar) $1.39 0.87%
Japan (Yen) ¥148.79 1.00%

 

Cryptocurrency

Trading volume in the cryptocurrency markets decreased last week but prices were relatively stable.

  • Ethereum is down 23% since the Merge on Sept. 15.
  • So far this year, Bitcoin has lost 60% and Ether is down 64%.
  • NYDIG, the crypto trading firm, said it plans to lay off ~33% of its staff.
Market Price Move
Bitcoin $19,100.50 -1.44%
Ethereum $1,280.76 -1.35%
Litecoin $50.77 -1.13%
Bitcoin Cash $108.78 -0.29%

 

Good trading,
Chris Svorcik

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