the USD/JPY made a bearish bounce at the 21 ema zone resistance and trend line (red), which is expanding the retracement towards the Fibonacci retracement levels of wave 4 vs 3 (purple).
The USD/JPY seems to be completing an ABC (blue) pattern within wave 4 (purple) but this becomes invalidated (red x) if price is able to break below the Fibonacci retracement levels of wave 4 vs 3. A bullish bounce and breakout could confirm (green check) this wave outlook and indicate a wave 5 higher.
The USD/JPY will probably building a bullish pullback in a potential wave 4 (green) for one more lower low to complete the bearish wave C (blue). A bounce at the Fibonacci retracement levels of wave 4 vs 3 could confirm (green check) the pattern whereas a break above the 61.8% Fib invalidates (red x) the expected wave pattern.