The US Dollar has been strengthening significantly during the last few weeks. Will the USD uptrend continue or will there be a retracement visible in the near future? Today’s wave analysis reviews that question and more on the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY. Make sure to check out our live webinars this week for newest updated forecasts and analysis.
The EUR/USD downtrend is approaching the bottoms (green) from the weekly chart, which could act as potential bouncing spots if price is indeed in a wave 5 (brown) of wave 1 (green). A bullish bounce at the support zone could cause a wave 2 correction (green) – see weekly chart.
The current wave 4 (blue) consolidation seems to be completed when considering the strong bearish weekly candles, which would be confirmed if price manages to break below the bottom of wave b (green). A wave 1-2 (green) could occur before the support levels are broken. An immediate break of the support zone could indicate that a wave 3 is already in motion.
Once the EUR/USD breaks below the various support levels (green) it will be starting a new bearish momentum via wave 5 (blue) of wave C (purple).
The GBP/USD seems to have completed a WXY (blue) correction within a wave 4 (green). A bearish breakout below the support trend line (green) could lead to a continuation of the downtrend.
The GBP/USD is showing a bounce at support (green) but the trend remains bearish. A break below support could see price continue with the bearish impulse towards a new lower low
The GBP/USD falling towards the Fibonacci targets of wave C (green).
The USD/JPY bullish momentum has been very strong, which is why the wave count is showing a wave 3 (blue/purple). Price managed to break above the psychological round level of 110 and is heading towards Fibonacci targets. Once the wave 3 (blue) impulse has been completed then a wave 4 (blue) retracement and wave 5 (blue) continuation is expected within wave 3 (purple).
The USD/JPY is now showing a strong bullish impulse and accelerating towards the Fibonacci targets of wave 3 vs 1 (purple) after price broke above the resistance trend line (dotted orange).
The USD/JPY seems to be confirming that a wave B (green) retracement has been completed and price is starting a new wave C (green).
Wish you safe trading,
Nenad and Chris
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