Our first annual report to you: transparent performance, meaningful improvements, and our commitment to your success.
Dear Valued Investor,
As we close out 2025, I want to share a transparent look at where we stand, what we've built, and where we're heading. This is our first formal annual update, and I believe you deserve a clear picture of your investment.
2025 brought continued volatility across global markets, with central bank policy shifts and geopolitical developments creating both challenges and opportunities. Against this backdrop, we focused on what we can control: disciplined execution, improved client experience, and steady progress across all three services.
In the sections below, you'll find our performance numbers broken down by method and category, a summary of the platform improvements we've made to serve you better, and a brief look at what's ahead.
Your investment performance broken down by fund, method, and category.
Measures investment performance independent of deposits and withdrawals. This shows how well the strategy itself performed.
TWR is the industry standard for comparing investment manager performance, as it isolates the returns generated by the investment decisions alone.
| Fund | Balance | Gross Gain (Open) | Gross Gain (Closed) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Securities | $1.04M | +$139,003 | +$19,870 |
| Fixed Income | $265.3K | +$4,681 | +$5,709 |
| Trading | $485.4K | - | -$122,450 |
| Total | $1.79M | +$143,684 | -$96,872 |
| Method | Balance | Gross Gain | PS (%) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flagship | $230.4K | +$19,818 | 40% |
| Loki | $195.7K | +$39,137 | 37% |
| Athena | $28.9K | +$7,649 | 25% |
| Vidar (Discontinued) | $0 | -$149,055 | 37% |
| Tyr (Inactive) | $138.2K | $0 | 37% |
| Total | $593.2K | -$122,450 | - |
| Category | Balance | Gross Gain (Open) | Gross Gain (Closed) | Dividends ($) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Equities | $628.0K | +$108,074 | +$18,107 | $2,985 |
| EU Equities | $71.8K | +$15,494 | -$567 | $631 |
| Developed Markets | $77.2K | +$4,764 | +$208 | $2,093 |
| Developing Markets | $73.8K | +$6,636 | +$314 | $1,242 |
| Commodities | $50.8K | +$4,255 | +$442 | $499 |
| Crypto | $131.3K | -$219 | +$1,365 | -$49 |
| Total | $1.04M | +$139,003 | +$19,870 | $7,402 |
| Asset Type | Balance | Gross Gain (Open) | Gross Gain (Closed) | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bond | $18.8K | -$187 | +$1,065 | $1,065 |
| Cash | $253.1K | +$4,859 | +$4,504 | $4,504 |
| ETF | $1.9K | +$9 | +$140 | $140 |
| Total | $265.3K | +$4,681 | +$5,709 | $5,709 |
| Security | Return |
|---|---|
| Robinhood (HOOD) | +765.04% |
| Palantir (PLTR) | +691.44% |
| Interactive Brokers (IBKR) | +694.79% |
| Sequans (SQNZ.XC) | +356.16% |
| Meta Platforms (META) | +333.23% |
| Security | Return |
|---|---|
| Beyond Meat (BYND) | -97.79% |
| Lufax Holding (LU.US) | -89.97% |
| Beyond Meat (BYND) | -85.73% |
| Snap Inc (SNAP) | -85.11% |
| Hims & Hers (HIMZ) | -66.31% |
| Security | Return |
|---|---|
| Robinhood (HOOD) | +915.19% |
| CoreWeave (CRWV) | +315.00% |
| Opendoor (OPEN) | +249.12% |
| Roblox (RBLX) | +236.84% |
| Reddit (RDDT) | +201.7% |
| Security | Return |
|---|---|
| Unity Software (U) | -79.33% |
| Lyft (LYFT) | -63.15% |
| AMD (AMD) | -38.82% |
| Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD) | -37.10% |
| Novo Nordisk (NVO) | -37.05% |
Our positioning and perspective heading into the new year.
Based on 4+ years of performance data, we expect Flagship to continue targeting closer to its historic 40% per annum averages. The macro strategy remains well-positioned to capitalize on central bank divergence and cross-asset volatility in 2026.
Following the recent drawdown, we've identified structural market shifts and initiated a dedicated research phase to optimize the algorithm.
The team continues to actively extract market data, test hypotheses, and validate multiple ideas in parallel. This is a temporary adjustment and a necessary step toward the next ATH.
With 3+ years of proven stability despite its relatively simple grid trading logic, Athena may receive a higher allocation in 2026. The maximum allocation will not exceed 7.5% of funds under management, maintaining prudent risk parameters.
Tyr and other crypto-related trading methods remain in the pipeline and may receive allocations throughout 2026 as market conditions and strategy validation permit.
The US appears on path to reduce the fed funds rate further below the current 3.75-4.50% range. Markets are pricing in continued cuts through 2026, though the pace remains data-dependent. We'll monitor Treasury yields and adjust duration positioning accordingly.
Central bank divergence continues: while the Fed cuts, some central banks (particularly in emerging markets) remain hawkish or are actively hiking rates. The ECB and BoE appear near terminal levels. This divergence creates both risks and opportunities in global bond markets.
We're evaluating opportunities in private credit and dividend-yielding equities as complements to traditional fixed income. These areas may offer attractive risk-adjusted returns in the current yield environment.
Global equity markets delivered strong performance in 2025. Looking ahead, we're monitoring regional opportunities across developed and emerging markets, commodities, and digital assets.
S&P 500 gained +17.5% YTD with targets near 7,800 for 2026. AI momentum continues driving mega-cap tech. We're watching for market breadth improvement as smaller caps and cyclicals potentially catch up. Concentration risk in tech remains a key consideration.
The 2025 paradigm shift confirms our thesis: AI has evolved from "chatbots" to "reasoning engines" rewiring the real economy. Key developments include the move from imitation to reasoning via RLVR (test-time compute scaling), the rise of vertical LLM apps (Cursor, Claude Code) capturing value in the application layer, and "vibe coding" democratizing software development. With less than 10% of LLM potential realized, we remain focused on infrastructure and application layers as AI becomes the primary operating system of the global economy.
Hang Seng surged +30% with analyst targets of 27,500-30,000. Policy stimulus showing effects, with earnings growth expected around 6-8%. Property sector headwinds moderating. Gradual exit from deflation supports the recovery thesis.
Europe offers diversification vs. concentrated US market. Germany's fiscal expansion (€500B infrastructure) and Spain/Italy's strong performance stand out. Japan's corporate reforms unlocking shareholder value. More attractive valuations than US peers.
Vietnam's FTSE emerging market upgrade is a major 2026 catalyst. India positioned for recovery after weaker 2025. Latin America benefits from commodity tailwinds and nearshoring trends. Lower local rates and higher growth potential across the board.
Copper is the "top pick for 2026" driven by energy transition and AI infrastructure demand. Gold and silver momentum continues with central bank buying. Uranium benefits from nuclear renaissance. Lithium faces near-term oversupply but long-term demand intact.
Bitcoin reached ATH >$126K with 2026 range estimates of $70K-$170K. Institutional adoption deepening via ETFs. ETH breakout above $5,200 would signal bull run. Stablecoin yields and tokenized securities (Circle) present emerging opportunities.
A year of meaningful upgrades to how you track and manage your investments.
Previously, your returns in Flagship could vary depending on which broker your capital happened to be allocated to. With the 2025 Trading Unification update, all broker accounts under Flagship are now pooled together. Every Flagship investor now benefits from the same blended performance, regardless of broker allocation.
Your Account Area now shows a detailed breakdown of your investment performance at every level: Fund Level, Method Level (Trading, Tyr), Category Level (Fixed Income, Securities), and Asset Level (individual holdings). We now use both TWR (Time-Weighted Return) and MWR (Money-Weighted Return) to give you the complete picture.
Interactive fund-level performance breakdown in your Account Area
New periodic performance views let you analyze returns across custom time periods. Whether you want to see monthly, quarterly, or yearly breakdowns, the data is now at your fingertips.
Monthly, quarterly, and yearly performance views
Throughout 2025, we made dozens of improvements to ensure your data is accurate and your experience is smooth. From calculation accuracy to graph visualizations, we've refined the details that matter.
Accurate TWR and MWR calculations for performance tracking
You can now download your full trading history across individual funds. Perfect for record-keeping, tax reporting, or your own analysis.
Full activity history with download options
Receive a monthly email overview of your portfolio performance. No login required. Stay informed with key metrics delivered directly to your inbox.
Monthly performance overview delivered to your inbox
A preview of what we're working on to improve your investment experience.
These initiatives are in various stages of development. We'll keep you informed as each becomes available. Your feedback continues to shape our priorities.
I don't pretend to know where markets are heading in 2026. What I can promise is this: we'll continue to focus on disciplined execution, transparent communication, and continuous improvement in how we serve you.
We're entering the new year with a balanced positioning across our three services. Our priority remains protecting your capital while seeking opportunities that match your risk tolerance and goals.
If you have questions about anything in this update, I'm available to discuss. Your trust is the foundation of everything we do.
With appreciation,
I'm available to discuss any aspect of this update or your investment. Schedule a call or reach out directly.
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